A top White House official penned a memo this week disputing a poll that has President Joe Biden’s approval in the basement at 33 percent – by citing polls and poll averages that still have the president in the low 40s.
White House Deputy Chief of Staff Jen O’Malley Dillon wrote the memo in response to the latest Quinnipiac University poll – which has Biden underwater at 33-53, which would be a low point.
The same survey had Biden at 36 per cent in November.
O’Malley Dillon, who managed Biden’s campaign, assembled the memo to argue the poll is ‘very likely an outlier.’
She responds to the survey by citing a raft of other polls that, while higher, still have Biden trailing other presidents in their first year in office and showing signs of deep political trouble.
He’s at least at 43! President Joe Biden’s 33 percent approval in a Quinnipiac poll is an ‘outlier,’ writes White House Deputy Chief of Staff Jennifer O’Malley Dillon
She notes that Biden’s approval in the FiveThirtyEight average of all public polls has him at 43 per cent. ‘Quinnipiac on the other hand is at 33% approval. This is drastically different from all other recent polls,’ she writes.
That puts him in poor company when it comes to presidents going all the way back to Jimmy Carter. ‘With the exception of Trump, Biden is in the worst shape of any of them,’ CNN’s Chris Cillizza noted, based on Gallup numbers. He called the argument – that Biden’s numbers were historically now, but not as bad as the Quinnipiac poll suggested, ‘baffling.’
‘This is likely in part because Quinnipiac still exclusively uses a method called RDD (Random Digit Dialing, calling phone numbers at random) to collect data, a method which many major organizations have abandoned,’ according to O’Malley Dillon.
Jennifer OMalley Dillon served as Biden Campaign Manager. She pushed back at the methodology of the poll, and noted the high rate of ‘no opinion’ responses
The latest Quinnipiac poll had Biden at 33 percent, but he is running in the low 40s in poll averages. Even that figure has him running lower than all recent Democratic presidents, but higher than Donald Trump at the same point
White House Counsel Dana Remus (L) and Deputy Chief of Staff Jennifer O’Malley Dillon depart the White House on July 13, 2021 in Washington, DC
She also notes that the Q poll has a large ‘undecided’ or ‘don’t know’ figure. She puts it at 11 percent, although the poll actually has this figure higher – at 13 percent. Other pollsters undertake to push respondents one way or the other to get a higher result either way, with lower undecided figures.
The poll pushback comes at a time when the White House is taking steps to retool its communications strategy.
Biden will hold his first formal press conference in more than 70 days next Wednesday, White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki said Friday.
And Vice President Kamala Harris has been conducting sit-down TV interviews amid her own low approval ratings. She did one with the ‘Today’ show this week.
Biden has also been bashing Republicans for standing in the way of voting rights legislation, comparing the the use of the filibuster to block it to Jim Crow and the confederacy.